Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vincenzi A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Perugia		Vado

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.50	4.60
	1.68	3.25	4.40	Watch
	1.66	3.66	5.28
	1.72	3.5	4.56	Watch
	1.64	3.60	5.20
	1.66	3.53	5.45	Watch
	1.65	3.50	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.52)	3.51 ↓ (3.81)	4.9 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
55.2%

Draw
26.1%

Vado
18.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.5%

24.1%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

21.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perugia's form might have worsened.

Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Perugia - Vado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zelezny R. (G) 7. Cisco A. 4. Tozzuolo A. 28. Riccardi D. (C) 15. Papazov D. 11. Borsoi M. 77. Kabashi E. 8. Ladinetti R. 33. Langella C. 30. van Amersfoort P. 9. Sabbatani A.	22. Bellocci A. (G) 14. Gulinelli F. 4. Viti M. 5. Saltarelli M. 31. Ferro M. 28. Hamlili Z. 27. Hergheligiu D. 20. De Rinaldis M. 29. Saiani F. 95. Cernigoi I. 11. Vita D. (C)
Substitutes
10. Canotto L. 20. Carriero G. 39. Cavallini G. 31. Conti G. 19. Dottori C. 12. Moro L. (G) 14. Quirini E. 29. Renault G. 34. Sam A. 26. Seha S. 5. Stramaccioni D. 55. Strappini S. (G)	81. Agostino N. 80. Bruno K. 1. Calvani S. (G) 25. Candiano M. 3. Carlini C. 17. Lazzarini M. 9. Lischetti L. 97. Rosa F. 16. Sala A. (G) 10. Simonetta J.
Coaches
Diana A.	Riolfo G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Papazov D. 🟥,
10', Sabbatani A. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
26', Riccardi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', De Rinaldis M. ↓, Candiano M. ↑,
46', Saiani F. ↓, Rosa F. ↑,
51', Ladinetti R. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Candiano M. ⚽, Saltarelli M. (A),
58', 0 - 2, Cernigoi I. ⚽, Rosa F. (A),
60', Ladinetti R. ↓, Carriero G. ↑,
65', Tozzuolo A. ↓, Sam A. ↑,
65', van Amersfoort P. ↓, Canotto L. ↑,
65', Cisco A. ↓, Seha S. ↑,
70', Hergheligiu D. ↓, Lazzarini M. ↑,
79', Saltarelli M. ↓, Carlini C. ↑,
85', Cernigoi I. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
89', Canotto L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 14th).

In recent outings, Perugia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vado is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Perugia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Perugia carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Perugia	11	5	1	5	15:17	-2	16
10	Vado	11	4	3	4	12:11	1	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.26	Gubbio - Perugia	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Perugia - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Grosseto - Perugia	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Perugia - Spezia	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Ravenna - Perugia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLL
- FC Vado
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.26	Vado - Forlì	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Sassari Torres - Vado	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Vado - Pescara	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Livorno - Vado	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Vado - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLLL

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