Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Perugia		Vado

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.7	5.7
	1.54	3.78	5.7	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5.64
	1.52	3.75	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.52)	3.71 ↓ (3.81)	5.66 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
59.5%

Draw
24.5%

Vado
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

24.1%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

21.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Vado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vado than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Perugia - Vado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 14th).

In recent outings, Perugia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vado has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Perugia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Perugia is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Perugia	8	4	1	3	9:12	-3	13
14	Vado	8	2	2	4	6:8	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.26	Gubbio - Perugia	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Perugia - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Grosseto - Perugia	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Perugia - Spezia	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Ravenna - Perugia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLL
- FC Vado
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.26	Vado - Forlì	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Sassari Torres - Vado	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Vado - Pescara	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Livorno - Vado	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Vado - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLLL

Perugia - Vado: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide