Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli (Campobasso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Campobasso		Pineto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.20	3.80
	1.78	3.25	3.85	Watch
	2.15	3.30	3.44
	2.04	3.22	3.51	Watch
	2.10	3.00	3.35
	2.05	3.04	3.42	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.73)	3.18 ↓ (3.48)	3.55 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campobasso
45.7%

Draw
28.6%

Pineto
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

25.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Campobasso's form might have worsened.

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pineto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Campobasso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pineto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Campobasso - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Apsits R. (G) 27. Cristallo C. 2. Papini F. 4. Celesia C. 33. Capoferri M. 5. Gargiulo M. (C) 34. Agazzi D. 21. Fogliata R. 10. Stoppa M. 11. Carfora L. 7. Isaac Prado	22. Tonti A. (C) 13. Alessandretti G. 52. Frare D. 28. D'Orazio T. 3. Ienco S. 4. Nebuloso G. 21. Lombardi L. 8. Germinario G. 10. Delle Monache M. 99. Pellegrino A. 9. Vigliotti G.
Substitutes
77. Aragona C. 14. Bifulco A. 19. Blasi L. 95. Corbo G. 8. Di Vico R. 92. Galeandro A. 70. Leonardi S. 28. Maisto F. 25. Martinez A. (G) 99. Muzi C. (G) 23. Pellitteri A. 18. Pierno R.	77. Ardizzone S. 41. Asmussen A. 5. Di Renzo G. 15. Ferrante D. 70. Forte R. 7. Guadagni G. 42. Pace D. (G) 69. Pistillo D. 2. Scheffer M. 1. Turi C. (G)
Coaches
Calabrese D.	Barilari E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Isaac Prado ⚽, Carfora L. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Cristallo C. ⚽, Stoppa M. (A),
38', Carfora L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fogliata R. ↓, Pierno R. ↑,
46', Frare D. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
58', Carfora L. ↓, Bifulco A. ↑,
62', Nebuloso G. ↓, Scheffer M. ↑,
68', Germinario G. 🟨,
71', Germinario G. ↓, Asmussen A. ↑,
71', Vigliotti G. ↓, Forte R. ↑,
78', Isaac Prado ↓, Galeandro A. ↑,
79', Stoppa M. ↓, Maisto F. ↑,
80', Ienco S. ↓, Pistillo D. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Pistillo D. ⚽, Delle Monache M. (A),
89', 2 - 2, Scheffer M. ⚽, D'Orazio T. (A),
90+5', Cristallo C. 🟨,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Campobasso won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Pineto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Campobasso for this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Campobasso has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:25 (averaging 0.9:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Campobasso against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 8:15 goals (averaging 1:1.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Campobasso	8	3	3	2	12:11	1	12
15	Pineto	8	1	4	3	6:11	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
16.09.26	Grosseto - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Vado - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Campobasso - Gubbio	2:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
01.09.26	Campobasso - Scafatese	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.08.26	Spezia - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWLWL
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
16.09.26	Pineto - Forlì	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Pineto - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Perugia - Pineto	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Pineto - Livorno	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Latina - Pineto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
06.05.26	Campobasso - Pineto	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
25.01.26	Pineto - Campobasso	1:0
13.09.25	Campobasso - Pineto	0:1
02.03.25	Campobasso - Pineto	1:3
21.10.24	Pineto - Campobasso	0:1
Italian Serie D - Group F
19.06.21	Pineto - Campobasso	3:2
02.05.21	Campobasso - Pineto	2:1

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