Match Info

A-League Women - Round 15

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Coopers Stadium (Adelaide)

Referee: Cooper I. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Adelaide United		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	3.7	1.68
	3.95	3.8	1.68
	4.26	4.25	1.7
	4.05	4.12	1.74	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.7
	4.3	3.77	1.75	Watch
	4	3.8	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↓ (4.1)	3.86 ↓ (3.92)	1.71 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide United
22.6%

Draw
23.7%

Melbourne City
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.3%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

24.1%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Adelaide United - Melbourne City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Adelaide United (2.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Adelaide United (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide United (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Melbourne City (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Melegh I. (G) 11. Hodgson I. (C) 17. Tolland Z. 13. Tonkin E. 3. McNamara M. 2. Hodgson E. 8. Condon E. 5. Morgan S. 6. Taranto M. 22. Healy E. 23. Worts F.	24. Mieres M. (G) 16. Roestbakken K. 5. Otto T. 13. Stott R. (C) 3. Turner D. 12. McMahon S. 11. Jackson D. 6. McKenna L. 21. Keane A. 9. McNamara H. 15. Uchendu C.
Coaches
Tsiounis T.	Matricciani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Worts F. ⚽, Healy E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Tonkin E. ⚽, Condon E. (A),
62', Uchendu C. ↓, Henry B. ↑,
62', McMahon S. ↓, Apostolakis A. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, McKenna L. ⚽,
66', Morgan S. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
71', Condon E. ↓, Dawber C. ↑,
72', Hodgson I. ↓, Taranto A. ↑,
78', Otto T. 🟨,
85', Worts F. ↓, Rossi C. ↑,
86', McKenna L. ↓, Wilson E. ↑,
90+2', Jackson D. ↓, Karic C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Melbourne City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melbourne City is a strong favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.6:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide United Women
Australian A-League Women
24.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Sydney FC - Adelaide United	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWTW
- Melbourne City FC Women
Australian A-League Women
24.01.26	Perth Glory - Melbourne City	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
09.01.26	Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Melbourne City - Sydney FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
16.03.25	Melbourne City - Adelaide United	4:3
20.12.24	Adelaide United - Melbourne City	1:3
18.02.24	Melbourne City - Adelaide United	1:1
06.01.24	Adelaide United - Melbourne City	0:5
29.01.23	Melbourne City - Adelaide United	1:0
11.01.23	Adelaide United - Melbourne City	0:3
15.01.22	Adelaide United - Melbourne City	0:1

Adelaide United - Melbourne City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide