The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Perth Glory 20%
Draw 23.7%
Canberra United 56.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.1%
24.8%
53.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.5%
24.1%
54.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Canberra United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Perth Glory - Canberra United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morrissey T. (G) 5. Johnston G. 29. Zogg O. 6. Mckenna T. 24. Sardo J. 3. Tovar E. 23. Dalton I. (C) 27. Wainwright C. 10. Phonsongkham S. 25. Lincoln E. 17. Badawiya R.
1. James S. (G) 8. Grove S. 12. Taylor-Young H. 5. Wardlow J. 33. Sasaki N. 32. Gordon B. 3. Anton E. 7. Hawkins E. 28. Bertolissio T. 6. Aulicino J. 23. Heyman M. (C)
Substitutes
2. Anderson M. 8. Cassidy G. 19. O'Donoghue S. 30. Skinner J. (G) 11. Tathem N. 12. Trew B.
13. Christopherson S. 19. Dale S. 18. Majstorovic C. (G) 25. Malone D. 11. Robers E. 10. Stanic-Floody M.
Coaches
Peters S.
Jagarinec A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lincoln E. ↓, O'Donoghue S. ↑,
46', Sardo J. ↓, Tathem N. ↑,
61', Grove S. ↓, Christopherson S. ↑,
70', Badawiya R. 🟨,
70', Badawiya R. ↓, Trew B. ↑,
74', Sasaki N. ↓, Dale S. ↑,
74', Hawkins E. ↓, Robers E. ↑,
75', O'Donoghue S. 🟨,
77', Wainwright C. ↓, Cassidy G. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Taylor-Young H. (Own goal),
83', Wardlow J. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
83', Aulicino J. ↓, Stanic-Floody M. ↑,
90+1', Phonsongkham S. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth Glory won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Canberra United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Canberra United is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perth Glory won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:45. (average 1.6:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Perth Glory won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).