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Current Win Probability
Melbourne City 57%
Draw 22.5%
Adelaide United 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.1%
18.1%
12.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.1%
17.3%
12.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne City's form might have worsened.
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Adelaide United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adelaide United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Melbourne City - Adelaide United Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Melbourne City will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Adelaide United will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Mieres M. (G) 13. Stott R. (C) 5. Otto T. 3. Turner D. 22. Henry B. 6. McKenna L. 12. McMahon S. 18. Davidson L. 16. Roestbakken K. 21. Keane A. 11. Jackson D.
30. Melegh I. (G) 17. Tolland Z. 13. Tonkin E. (C) 3. McNamara M. 2. Hodgson E. 5. Morgan S. 8. Condon E. 6. Taranto M. 15. Taranto A. 10. Dawber C. 22. Healy E.
Substitutes
8. Apostolakis A. 23. Barbieri M. (G) 7. Butrus D. 14. Hughes L. 17. Jugovic K. 15. Uchendu C.
25. Gooch L. 11. Hodgson I. 16. Holmes D. 21. Jenkins C. (G) 12. Rossi C. 9. Zois P.
Coaches
Matricciani M.
Tsiounis T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Condon E. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,
62', Morgan S. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
70', Taranto A. 🟨,
71', Jackson D. ↓, Uchendu C. ↑,
78', Keane A. ↓, Butrus D. ↑,
79', McKenna L. ↓, Hughes L. ↑,
81', Taranto M. ↓, Zois P. ↑,
81', Healy E. ↓, Rossi C. ↑,
88', Dawber C. ↓, Hodgson I. ↑,
90+1', Henry B. ↓, Apostolakis A. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 4.
Melbourne City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Adelaide United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Melbourne City is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Melbourne City will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:11. (average 2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
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Mieres M. (G) 
Stott R. (C) 
Otto T. 
Turner D. 
Henry B. 
Healy E. 
Hughes L. 
Uchendu C. 
