The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Venados 48.1%
Draw 23.9%
Leones Negros UdeG 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
24.7%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
24.4%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Venados - Leones Negros UdeG Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 1st in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 2.
Venados has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Leones Negros UdeG shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Venados could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Venados holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Venados has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:28 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Venados against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:5 goals (averaging 1.3:0.5 per game).
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