Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 15

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Brightlingsea Regent		Lewes

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.9	1.66
	4.1	3.8	1.66
	4.17	3.83	1.71
	3.3	4.2	1.75
	4.25	3.98	1.65
	4.2	3.75	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.3)	3.91 ↓ (4.15)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brightlingsea Regent
22.9%

Draw
23.2%

Lewes
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

21.6%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

21.9%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Brightlingsea Regent - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brightlingsea won 2.

Brightlingsea has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lewes is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lewes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Brightlingsea have a series of guest games.

In this match Lewes is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Brightlingsea won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Brightlingsea won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brightlingsea Regent
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.10.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Aveley	0:6 ✺
25.10.22	Wingate & Finchley - Brightlingsea Regent	5:0 ✺
22.10.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1 ✺
19.10.22	Cray Wanderers - Brightlingsea Regent	4:0 ✺
12.10.22	Kingstonian - Brightlingsea Regent	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTLL
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.11.22	Lewes - Aveley	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Chesham United - Lewes	2:3 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.10.22	Lewes - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
22.10.22	Lewes - Margate	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Enfield Town - Lewes	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.01.22	Lewes - Brightlingsea Regent	2:2
18.09.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Lewes	0:4
26.09.20	Lewes - Brightlingsea Regent	1:2
22.02.20	Lewes - Brightlingsea Regent	0:1
28.09.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Lewes	2:3
16.03.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Lewes	0:0
12.12.18	Lewes - Brightlingsea Regent	5:0

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