Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Chatham Town

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.1	3.9
	1.61	4.1	4.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.82)	4.1 ↑ (4)	4.12 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
56.1%

Draw
22%

Chatham Town
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

22.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

23%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hornchurch's performance.

Chatham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chatham Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hornchurch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chatham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 1 - 0, Akinwande F. ⚽,
88', 1 - 1, Liburd R. ⚽,
90', Da Costa K. 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 1, Nash L. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Hornchurch is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chatham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hornchurch will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.03.24	Hornchurch - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
26.03.24	Hornchurch - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Whitehawk - Hornchurch	0:4 ✺
19.03.24	Hastings United - Hornchurch	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Hornchurch - Billericay Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLW
- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.04.24	Chatham Town - Kingstonian	4:1 ✺
29.03.24	Cray Wanderers - Chatham Town	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Chatham Town - Haringey Borough	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Hastings United - Chatham Town	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Chatham Town - Concord Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.12.23	Chatham Town - Hornchurch	2:0

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