Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Carabanchel		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.05	1.98
	3.7	3.04	2
	3.48	3.29	2.04	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2
	3.71	3.04	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	3.06 ↓ (3.19)	2 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabanchel
25.1%

Draw
29.6%

Móstoles URJC
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

28.3%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

27.3%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Carabanchel - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Ramirez de Arroba A. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Carabanchel have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Móstoles is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Móstoles is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Carabanchel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	CD Mostoles	5	3	2	0	6:2	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.02.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Carabanchel - Racing Madrid	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Las Rozas - Carabanchel	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Carabanchel - Unión Adarve	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Villaverde San Andrés - Carabanchel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTLT
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.02.26	Galapagar - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Móstoles URJC - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Racing Madrid - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Móstoles URJC - Las Rozas	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Unión Adarve - Móstoles URJC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.10.25	Móstoles URJC - Carabanchel	1:0
21.02.21	Carabanchel - Móstoles URJC	0:1
22.11.20	Móstoles URJC - Carabanchel	2:0
15.12.19	Móstoles URJC - Carabanchel	1:0
27.01.19	Carabanchel - Móstoles URJC	0:0

Carabanchel - Móstoles URJC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide