Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)


	Deportivo La Guaira		Carabobo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	2.98	3.35
	2.22	3	3.56
	2.21	3.1	3.45	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.21	3.15	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.21)	3.03 ↑ (2.91)	3.4 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Guaira
42.1%

Draw
30.7%

Carabobo
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

32.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.9%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Deportivo La Guaira - Carabobo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Varela C. (G) 16. Martinez L. 4. Rivero C. (C) 5. Gianoli M. 19. Ascanio G. 8. Perdomo J. 27. Correa J. 32. Caceres F. 7. Meza J. 25. Paredes J. 36. Londono F.	22. Bruera L. (C) 21. Gonzalez A. 32. Neira E. 3. Fuentes J. 8. Perez J. 14. Berios J. 23. Meza D. 26. Nunez M. 7. Tortolero E. 19. Martinez L. 24. Ramirez E.
Substitutes
10. Castellanos J. 14. Da Silva C. 15. Gonzalez M. 33. Hernandez N. 13. Ibarra R. 24. Ortiz G. 18. Rivas Y. 21. Rodriguez A. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 22. Sulbaran M. 9. Uribe A. 11. Vargas J.	6. Bahachille A. 28. Bilbao J. 37. Diaz F. 13. Duran J. 2. Guaramato M. 16. Lopez F. 30. Mendoza S. 18. Obando J. 17. Oliveros F. 10. Orozco Y. 9. Riasco J. 12. Roa K. (G)
Coaches
Bidoglio H.	Farias D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Paredes J. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Caceres F. 🟨,
28', Meza J. 🟨,
30', Rivero C. 🟨,
32', Tortolero E. 🟨,
43', Paredes J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 1, Ramirez E. ⚽, Perez J. (A),
57', Meza J. ↓, Rivas Y. ↑,
57', Paredes J. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
63', Rivas Y. 🟨,
67', Ramirez E. 🟨,
67', Ascanio G. ↓, Hernandez N. ↑,
67', Caceres F. ↓, Castellanos J. ↑,
71', Martinez L. ↓, Riasco J. ↑,
71', Tortolero E. ↓, Orozco Y. ↑,
74', Meza D. 🟨,
75', Meza D. ↓, Bahachille A. ↑,
84', Riasco J. 🟨,
90', Londono F. ↓, Sulbaran M. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 0.

Deportivo La Guaira is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carabobo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deportivo La Guaira will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo La Guaira won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Carabobo	11	5	3	3	12:8	4	18
6	La Guaira	11	5	1	5	21:16	5	16

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo La Guaira - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.25%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division
21.03.26	Universidad Central - Deportivo La Guaira	0:1 ✺
17.03.26	Academia Anzoátegui - Deportivo La Guaira	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Rayo Zuliano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTWW
- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
23.03.26	Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Carabobo - Rayo Zuliano	5:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Carabobo	2:2 penalties ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
07.03.26	Zamora - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
28.09.25	Carabobo - Deportivo La Guaira	0:0
17.04.25	Deportivo La Guaira - Carabobo	0:0
10.11.24	Carabobo - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1
03.11.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Carabobo	0:1
15.09.24	Carabobo - Deportivo La Guaira	3:1
19.03.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Carabobo	0:0
15.07.23	Deportivo La Guaira - Carabobo	1:1

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