The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Academia Anzoátegui 16.8%
Draw 23.9%
Carabobo 59.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.8%
25.4%
52.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.6%
25.2%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Anzoátegui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carabobo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Anzoátegui than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carabobo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
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0%
Academia Anzoátegui - Carabobo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th and 4th in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
Recent results have been tough for Anzoátegui (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Carabobo is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Carabobo carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Anzoátegui has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 1:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Anzoátegui against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Carabobo
11
5
3
3
12:8
4
18
14
Anzoategui FC
11
1
2
8
6:20
-14
5
Last Results with these Odds
Carabobo - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 52.77%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.