Match Info

Date: 23 November 2020, Monday


	Caracas		Gran Valencia

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.6	8
	1.24	5	8
	1.14	5.38	9.34
	1.22	5.5	10
	1.21	6.55	11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.43)	5.41 ↑ (4.33)	9.27 ↑ (7.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
73.6%

Draw
16.6%

Gran Valencia
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

21.6%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.2%

18.3%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caracas's performance.

Gran Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Valencia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Caracas - Gran Valencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place) and 8).

Caracas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gran Valencia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gran Valencia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Caracas is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caracas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
20.11.20	Zamora - Caracas	1:3 ✺
16.11.20	Portuguesa - Caracas	0:2 ✺
12.11.20	Caracas - Aragua	0:1 ✺
09.11.20	Caracas - Metropolitanos	2:1 ✺
06.11.20	Deportivo Táchira - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWT
- Gran Valencia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
20.11.20	Gran Valencia - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
16.11.20	Deportivo Táchira - Gran Valencia	0:0 ✺
13.11.20	Gran Valencia - Monagas	2:1 ✺
08.11.20	Zamora - Gran Valencia	1:0 ✺
06.11.20	Gran Valencia - Metropolitanos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
30.10.20	Gran Valencia - Caracas	0:4

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