Match Info

VENEZUELA: Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 2

Date: 30 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)


	Inter de Barinas		Deportivo La Guaira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.55
	2.51	3.21	2.53
	2.6	3.2	2.5
	2.55	3.3	2.59	Watch
	2.23	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.29)	3.17 ↑ (3.13)	2.62 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter de Barinas
36.6%

Draw
28.7%

Deportivo La Guaira
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.4%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter de Barinas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo La Guaira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter de Barinas than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Inter de Barinas - Deportivo La Guaira Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Inter de Barinas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Avellaneda S. (G) 28. Alvarado J. 25. Muriel J. 26. Deusa J. 21. Da Silva J. 11. Cabezas A. 14. Colmenarez G. 4. Manzanilla J. 20. Bolivar D. 15. Livingstone A. 8. Zapata J.	12. Varela C. (G) 19. Cordoba O. 13. Ibarra R. 33. Acuna M. 20. Gutierrez J. 18. Soto A. 24. Perdomo J. 9. Castillo S. 16. Pena L. 21. Lamadrid K. 27. Farias E.
Substitutes
1. Forero A. (G) 10. Gomez D. 17. Magallan C. 13. Martinez C. 9. Osorio A. 24. Osorio J. 7. Perez J. 30. Rivas J. 6. Rodriguez D. 18. Rojas D. 23. Ruiz M. 3. Urdaneta A.	7. Arias J. 11. Chacon R. 4. Custodio A. 8. Da Silva C. 15. Gonzalez M. 23. Gonzalez M. 14. Hernandez A. 1. Lima E. (G) 30. Navas Barrera V. H. 26. Osorio Y.
Coaches
Vielma L.	Tolisano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', Da Silva J. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Farias E. ⚽,
40', Cabezas A. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
40', Bolivar D. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
45', Muriel J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Deusa J. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
46', Colmenarez G. ↓, Magallan C. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Gomez D. ⚽, Zapata J. (A),
63', Pena L. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
70', Ibarra R. 🟨,
74', Castillo S. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
76', Muriel J. 🟨,
78', 1 - 2, Farias E. (Pen),
80', Da Silva J. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
85', Perdomo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
85', Farias E. ↓, Chacon R. ↑,
90', Zapata J. 🟨,
90+4', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
90+6', Gonzalez M. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Inter de Barinas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Inter de Barinas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Inter de Barinas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter de Barinas
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.04.24	Metropolitanos - Inter de Barinas	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Inter de Barinas - Monagas	1:0 ✺
13.04.24	Angostura - Inter de Barinas	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Inter de Barinas - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Caracas - Inter de Barinas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWLWW
- Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division
27.04.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Universidad Central	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Táchira	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Rayo Zuliano - Deportivo La Guaira	2:2 ✺
06.04.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:2 ✺
31.03.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
02.03.24	Inter de Barinas - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2

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