The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caravaca 25.7%
Draw 30%
Mazarrón 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
29.4%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
29.7%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caravaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Mazarrón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Mazarrón aligns with the current prediction.
Caravaca - Mazarrón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Almansa S. G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Mazarrón will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Caravaca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Caravaca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.