Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 1

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio da Montanha (Porto Alegre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play
World	Fanatiz


	Caravaggio		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.1	1.87
	3.65	2.85	1.87
	4	3.21	1.9	Watch
	4.01	3.32	1.88
	3.65	2.85	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.13)	3.07 ↑ (2.98)	1.88 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaggio
23.4%

Draw
29.1%

Chapecoense
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

29.9%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chapecoense's recent form is better than expected.

Caravaggio - Chapecoense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arthur Vellasque (G) 7. Fernando Portel 9. Genesis 5. Henik (C) 8. Henrique Freitas 4. Jesse Costa 10. Lucas Matheus 6. Pavani 2. Rafael Compri 11. Renan 3. Vinicius Barcellos	12. Leo Vieira (G) 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 16. Bruno Matias 3. Eduardo Doma 10. Giovanni Augusto 72. Italo 22. Mailton 6. Mancha 9. Mario Sergio 99. Rafael Carvalheira 17. Vinicius Balieiro
Substitutes
20. Alessandro Lucas 18. Arthur Augusto 19. Elyson 17. Gabriel Henrique 22. Juninho 21. Mateus Goiano 12. Niccolas (G) 16. Padilha 14. Ricardo 15. Ruan 13. Tiago Coelho 23. Ze Neto	37. Clar W. 97. Dentinho 27. Eduardo Person 2. Gabriel Inocencio 32. Jhonnathan 1. Joao Paulo (G) 7. Marcinho 21. Paulo Henrique 48. Pedro Martins 25. Victor Caetano

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Eduardo Doma 🟨,
34', Vinicius Barcellos 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pavani ↓, Arthur Augusto ↑,
46', Italo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
49', 🟨,
49', Lucas Matheus 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Renan ⚽,
55', 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Marcinho ⚽,
60', Vinicius Balieiro ↓, Dentinho ↑,
84', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caravaggio FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
25.08.24	Santa Catarina - Caravaggio	1:2 penalties ✺
17.08.24	Caravaggio - Santa Catarina	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Caravaggio - Grêmio Juventus	3:1 ✺
04.08.24	Grêmio Juventus - Caravaggio	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Caravaggio - Metropolitano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWLW
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
24.11.24	Mirassol - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
17.11.24	Chapecoense - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Sport Recife - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
03.11.24	Concórdia - Chapecoense	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
02.11.24	Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWTLL

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