The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 70%
Draw 19.8%
Chapecoense 10.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
73.3%
18.9%
7.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
10%
15%
Sport Recife - Chapecoense Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 53.9% – 93.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Caique Franca (G) 16. Igor Carius 44. Chico 15. Rafael Thyere (C) 6. Felipinho 5. Fernandez J. 94. Felipe 19. Lucas Lima 8. Dominguez F. 30. Chrystian Barletta 77. Lenny Lobato
12. Leo Vieira (G) 79. Marcelinho 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 4. Joao Paulo 6. Mancha 31. Tarik 35. Foguinho 99. Rafael Carvalheira 7. Marcinho 89. Mario Sergio 72. Italo
Substitutes
12. Alisson Cassiano 2. Allyson 29. Dalbert 38. Dieguinho 20. Di Placido L. 7. Fabinho 40. Luciano Castan 93. Palacios H. 48. Pedro Martins 17. Pedro Vilhena 21. Thiago Couto (G) 18. Wellington Silva
5. Auremir 37. Clar W. 3. Eduardo Doma 10. Giovanni Augusto 91. Jenison 98. Mailton 11. Marcelinho 8. Marlone 26. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 9. Pedro Perotti 34. Rodrigo Moledo
Coaches
Miguel P.
Gilmar Pozzo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Fernandez J. ⚽, Felipinho (A),
54', Joao Paulo 🟨,
58', Marcinho ↓, Giovanni Augusto ↑,
60', Rafael Thyere ↓, Allyson ↑,
70', Foguinho ↓, Mailton ↑,
70', Marcelinho ↓, Marlone ↑,
78', Italo ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
79', Igor Carius ↓, Di Placido L. ↑,
79', Lenny Lobato ↓, Wellington Silva ↑,
80', Tarik ↓, Auremir ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Pedro Perotti ⚽, Marlone (A),
89', Felipinho ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
89', Felipe ↓, Dalbert ↑,
90+8', Mario Sergio 🟨,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Recife won 3.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Chapecoense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Recife is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Recife won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28:18 (average 1.4:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Recife won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20:4 (average 2.2:0.4).