Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Cardiff City		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.87	3.7	3.9
	1.92	3.75	4	Watch
	1.86	3.8	3.92
	1.82	3.77	3.98	Watch
	1.85	3.7	4
	1.88	3.78	3.91	Watch
	1.92	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.59)	3.72 ↓ (4.07)	3.98 ↓ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
50.7%

Draw
25.5%

Bristol Rovers
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.2%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

22.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff City's form might have worsened.

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol Rovers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	12.5%	18.7%

Cardiff City - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Alnwick J. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 23. Bagan J. 5. McGuinness M. 49. Giles L. 35. Rinomhota A. 18. Robertson A. 36. Conte R. 24. King E. 27. Colwill R. 15. Kanga W.	1. Griffiths J. (G) 25. Forbes M. 6. Mola C. 17. Taylor C. 2. Senior J. 29. Lindsay J. 23. McCormick L. 14. Garrett J. 11. Thomas L. 7. Sinclair S. (C) 9. Omochere P.
Substitutes
25. Evans K. 31. Fagan-Walcott M. 43. Gbadehan A. 48. Lawlor D. 46. Reindorf M. 32. Tanner O. 41. Turner M. (G)	21. Anthony M. 27. Bilongo B. 22. Conteh K. 35. Hall M. (G) 19. Hutchinson I. 4. Moore T. 37. Shaw K. 10. Sotiriou R. 5. Wilson J.
Coaches
Bulut E.	Taylor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', McGuinness M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', Conte R. ↓, Evans K. ↑,
60', Kanga W. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
60', Robertson A. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
61', Omochere P. ↓, Shaw K. ↑,
61', Mola C. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
61', Sinclair S. ↓, Anthony M. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, McGuinness M. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
77', Lindsay J. ↓, Conteh K. ↑,
77', McCormick L. ↓, Sotiriou R. ↑,
77', McGuinness M. ↓, Fagan-Walcott M. ↑,
77', Anthony M. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 0, Colwill R. ⚽, Evans K. (A),

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Bristol Rovers have a series of home games.

In this match Cardiff is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Championship
10.08.24	Cardiff City - Sunderland	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Bristol Rovers - Cardiff City	0:2 ✺
31.07.24	Cardiff City - Reading	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	Hertha Berlin - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
23.07.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWTT
- Bristol Rovers
English League One
10.08.24	Bristol Rovers - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Bristol Rovers - Cardiff City	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	Bristol Rovers - Plymouth Argyle	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Bristol Rovers - Portimonense	2:0 ✺
23.07.24	Bristol Rovers - Bromley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.24	Bristol Rovers - Cardiff City	0:2
English League Cup
11.08.16	Bristol Rovers - Cardiff City	1:0

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