The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 32.4%
Draw 29.6%
Sunderland 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
29.2%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
28.2%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Cardiff City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
17.6%
47.1%
35.3%
Cardiff City - Sunderland Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Sunderland will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.4% – 70.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Horvath E. (G) 38. Ng P. 12. Chambers C. 4. Goutas D. 11. O'Dowda C. 3. Siopis M. 8. Ralls J. 32. Tanner O. 10. Ramsey A. 16. Willock C. 47. Robinson C.
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 13. O'Nien L. 42. Alese A. 3. Cirkin D. 8. Browne A. 4. Neil D. 10. Roberts P. 7. Bellingham J. 20. Clarke J. 12. Mayenda E.
Substitutes
21. Alnwick J. (G) 23. Bagan J. 27. Colwill R. 31. Fagan-Walcott M. 15. Kanga W. 19. Meite Y. 35. Rinomhota A. 18. Robertson A. 14. Turnbull D.
22. Aouchiche A. 17. Ba A. 39. Ekwah P. 41. Johnson Z. 21. Moore S. (G) 14. Mundle R. 11. Rigg C. 15. Rusyn N. 25. Triantis N.
Coaches
Bulut E.
Le Bris R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, O'Nien L. ⚽, Cirkin D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Hume T. 🟨,
62', Tanner O. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
68', Robinson C. ↓, Kanga W. ↑,
72', Mayenda E. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
77', Roberts P. ↓, Rigg C. ↑,
78', Willock C. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
78', Ralls J. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
81', Alese A. 🟨,
89', 0 - 2, Clarke J. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
90', Clarke J. ↓, Mundle R. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 3.
Cardiff is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Sunderland is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sunderland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Cardiff: Collins J.
(Leg Injury)
Davies I.
(Knee Injury)
Etete K.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Sunderland: Ballard D.
(Knee Injury)
Ekwah P.
(Leg Injury)
Huggins N.
(Knee Injury)
Seelt J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cardiff: Tsunoda R.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Sunderland: Poveda I.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.
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Horvath E. (G) 
Ng P. 
Goutas D. 
O'Dowda C. 
Ramsey A. 
Hume T. 
Mayenda E. 
Kanga W. 
Rinomhota A. 
Robertson A. 
Turnbull D. 
Aouchiche A. 
Rusyn N. 
Bulut E. 
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