The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 39.2%
Draw 31%
Preston North End 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
28.5%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
28.8%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff City's form might have worsened.
Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.8%
35.3%
5.9%
Cardiff City - Preston North End Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Preston will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 35.4% – 82.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Alnwick J. (C) 38. Ng P. 4. Goutas D. 12. Chambers C. 23. Bagan J. 35. Rinomhota A. 18. Robertson A. 19. Meite Y. 27. Colwill R. 11. O'Dowda C. 47. Robinson C.
1. Woodman F. (G) 14. Storey J. 5. Whatmough J. 6. Lindsay L. 40. Bowler J. 8. McCann A. (C) 22. Thordarson S. T. 29. Kesler-Hayden K. 10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 20. Greenwood S. 9. Riis E.
Substitutes
45. Ashford C. 17. Collins J. 5. Daland J. 20. El Ghazi A. 2. Fish W. 1. Horvath E. (G) 8. Ralls J. 46. Reindorf M. 16. Willock C.
26. Bauer P. 11. Brady R. 13. Cornell D. (G) 25. Holmes D. 7. Keane W. 18. Ledson R. 28. Osmajic M. 44. Potts B. 4. Whiteman B.
Coaches
Riza O.
Heckingbottom P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Frokjaer-Jensen M. 🟨,
33', Ng P. 🟨,
37', Greenwood S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Chambers C. (Own goal),
57', Rinomhota A. ↓, Ralls J. ↑,
57', Meite Y. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
57', Bagan J. ↓, El Ghazi A. ↑,
64', Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↓, Whiteman B. ↑,
64', Bowler J. ↓, Potts B. ↑,
68', Robinson C. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
74', McCann A. 🟨,
76', Kesler-Hayden K. 🟨,
78', Kesler-Hayden K. ↓, Brady R. ↑,
78', Thordarson S. T. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
78', Riis E. ↓, Osmajic M. ↑,
81', Ralls J. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 2, Osmajic M. ⚽,
90+4', Osmajic M. 🟨,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 18).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 1.
Cardiff is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Preston is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Preston could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Cardiff: Etete K.
(Leg Injury)
Ramsey A.
(Muscle Injury)
Tsunoda R.
(Muscle Injury)
Turnbull D.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Preston: Brady R.
(Ankle Injury)
Evans C.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:16 (average 1.1:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.1:0.6).