Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ESPN 1, StarTimes App
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV2
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport ESPN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra, V Sport Xtra
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Cardiff City		Blackburn Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	3	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.95
	2.41	3.34	2.95	Watch
	2.42	3.4	3.1
	2.37	3.32	3.06	Watch
	2.38	3.3	3.1
	2.38	3.36	2.98	Watch
	2.41	3.34	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)	3.36 ↑ (3.36)	3.01 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
40%

Draw
28.4%

Blackburn Rovers
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Blackburn Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Cardiff City - Blackburn Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Alnwick J. (C) 38. Ng P. 4. Goutas D. 5. Daland J. 11. O'Dowda C. 18. Robertson A. 14. Turnbull D. 32. Tanner O. 27. Colwill R. 20. El Ghazi A. 16. Willock C.	1. Pears A. (G) 2. Brittain C. 15. Batth D. 5. Hyam D. 3. Pickering H. 6. Tronstad S. 27. Travis L. (C) 14. Weimann A. 8. Cantwell T. 19. Hedges R. 23. Ohashi Y.
Substitutes
45. Ashford C. 23. Bagan J. 17. Collins J. 2. Fish W. 1. Horvath E. (G) 15. Kanga W. 19. Meite Y. 35. Rinomhota A. 3. Siopis M.	42. Baker L. 21. Buckley J. 39. Duru L. 9. Gueye M. 20. Leonard H. 4. McFadzean K. 11. Rankin-Costello J. 12. Toth B. (G) 32. Tyjon I.
Coaches
Riza O.	Eustace J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Weimann A. ⚽, Travis L. (A),
37', Pears A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', El Ghazi A. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Weimann A. ⚽,
60', Weimann A. ↓, Tyjon I. ↑,
72', Rankin-Costello J. 🟨,
73', Turnbull D. (Pen),
73', 1 - 2, Turnbull D. ⚽,
78', Hedges R. ↓, Buckley J. ↑,
78', Cantwell T. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
78', Ohashi Y. ↓, Baker L. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Baker L. ⚽, Rankin-Costello J. (A),
90+5', Buckley J. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 1.

Cardiff is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Blackburn is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Blackburn have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Cardiff: Etete K. (Leg Injury) Ralls J. (Leg Injury) Ramsey A. (Muscle Injury) Robertson A. (Muscle Injury) Tsunoda R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Blackburn: Carter H. (Knee Injury) Cozier-Duberry A. (Ankle Injury) Dolan T. (Yellow Cards) Gilsenan Z. (Muscle Injury) Wharton S. (Knee Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22:24 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Championship
06.11.24	Luton Town - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Cardiff City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	West Bromwich Albion - Cardiff City	0:0 ✺
22.10.24	Cardiff City - Portsmouth	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Cardiff City - Plymouth Argyle	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWTWW
- Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship
06.11.24	Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Blackburn Rovers - Sheffield United	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Watford - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
23.10.24	Blackburn Rovers - West Bromwich Albion	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.02.24	Cardiff City - Blackburn Rovers	0:0
21.10.23	Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City	1:0
English League Cup
27.09.23	Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City	5:2
English League Championship
01.01.23	Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City	1:0
04.10.22	Cardiff City - Blackburn Rovers	1:0
15.01.22	Cardiff City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1
25.09.21	Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City	5:1

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