Match Info

Championship - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)


	Portsmouth		Preston North End

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.25
	2.08	3.45	3.55
	2.17	3.42	3.65
	2.22	3.16	3.37	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.25
	2.13	3.45	3.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.21)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	3.45 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
44%

Draw
28.5%

Preston North End
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

30.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	47.1%	35.3%

Portsmouth - Preston North End Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Preston will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmid N. (G) 22. Swanson Z. 5. Poole R. 6. Shaughnessy C. 3. Ogilvie C. 8. Swift J. 21. Dozzell A. 11. Bianchini F. 10. Segecic A. 23. Murphy J. 9. Bishop C. (C)	1. Iversen D. (G) 14. Storey J. 19. Gibson L. 16. Hughes A. 2. Valentin P. 22. Thordarson S. T. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 8. McCann A. 26. Small T. 9. Jebbison D. 24. Smith M.
Substitutes
24. Devlin T. 30. Killip B. (G) 4. Knight J. 18. Kosznovszky M. 16. Le Roux L. 14. Matthews H. 20. Waddingham T. 2. Williams J. 47. Yang Min-Hyuk	20. Carroll T. 17. Dobbin L. 10. Frokjaer-Jensen M. 30. Gryba G. 6. Lindsay L. 42. Offiah O. 3. Vukcevic A. 12. Walton J. (G)
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Heckingbottom P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Storey J. 🟨,
34', Hughes A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Dozzell A. ⚽, Swift J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Dozzell A. 🟨,
64', Bianchini F. ↓, Le Roux L. ↑,
67', Thordarson S. T. ↓, Dobbin L. ↑,
67', Jebbison D. ↓, Frokjaer-Jensen M. ↑,
79', Swanson Z. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
88', Storey J. ↓, Offiah O. ↑,
90', Segecic A. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
90', Bishop C. ↓, Waddingham T. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Portsmouth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Preston is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Portsmouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Portsmouth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H. (Hamstring Injury) Lang C. (Injury) Pack M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Preston: Brady R. (Calf Injury) Keane W. (Inactive) Potts B. (Injury) Thompson J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Preston: Frokjaer-Jensen M. (Groin Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Preston North End - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 28.55%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
23.08.25	West Bromwich Albion - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Portsmouth - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Portsmouth - Reading	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
09.08.25	Oxford United - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Portsmouth - Zwolle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLLWW
- Preston North End
English League Cup
26.08.25	Preston North End - Wrexham	2:3 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.25	Preston North End - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Preston North End - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Barrow - Preston North End	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
09.08.25	Queens Park Rangers - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.03.25	Preston North End - Portsmouth	2:1
09.11.24	Portsmouth - Preston North End	3:1
English League One
29.03.13	Preston North End - Portsmouth	1:1
15.12.12	Portsmouth - Preston North End	0:0

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