Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 17

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cardiff City		Queens Park Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	3.9
	1.93	3.4	4
	1.96	3.46	3.95
	1.99	3.53	3.86
	1.92	3.52	4.07	Watch
	1.95	3.4	4.2
	1.94	3.52	3.96	Watch
	1.96	3.46	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.89)	3.47 ↓ (3.67)	3.99 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
48.8%

Draw
27.3%

Queens Park Rangers
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

24.9%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Cardiff City - Queens Park Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). QPR will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Alnwick J. (G) 38. Ng P. 4. Goutas D. 12. Chambers C. 23. Bagan J. 18. Robertson A. 8. Ralls J. (C) 32. Tanner O. 27. Colwill R. 11. O'Dowda C. 47. Robinson C.	1. Nardi P. (G) 3. Dunne J. 5. Cook S. (C) 16. Morrison L. 20. Ashby H. 40. Varane J. 8. Field S. 11. Smyth P. 24. Madsen N. 14. Saito K. 18. Celar Z.
Substitutes
5. Daland J. 2. Fish W. 1. Horvath E. (G) 19. Meite Y. 46. Reindorf M. 35. Rinomhota A. 3. Siopis M. 14. Turnbull D. 16. Willock C.	25. Andersen L. 27. Bennie D. 19. Dixon-Bonner E. 15. Fox M. 23. Hevertton S. 26. Kolli R. 21. Morgan K. 22. Paal K. 13. Walsh J. (G)
Coaches
Riza O.	Cifuentes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Celar Z. ⚽, Dunne J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Tanner O. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
67', Smyth P. ↓, Paal K. ↑,
76', Ralls J. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
81', Madsen N. ↓, Andersen L. ↑,
81', Morrison L. ↓, Fox M. ↑,
82', Goutas D. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
85', Dunne J. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 2, Celar Z. ⚽,
90+5', Celar Z. ↓, Kolli R. ↑,
90+5', Saito K. ↓, Morgan K. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2.

Recent matches Cardiff is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

QPR is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cardiff is a favorite.

There will not play in Cardiff: Etete K. (Leg Injury) Ramsey A. (Muscle Injury) Tsunoda R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in QPR: Clarke-Salter J. (Leg Injury) Colback J. (Leg Injury) Dembele K. (Muscle Injury) Frey M. (Calf Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17:27 (average 1.1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:7 (average 0.8:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Championship
23.11.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Cardiff City - Blackburn Rovers	1:3 ✺
06.11.24	Luton Town - Cardiff City	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Cardiff City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	West Bromwich Albion - Cardiff City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLLWT
- Queens Park Rangers
English League Championship
23.11.24	Queens Park Rangers - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Leeds United - Queens Park Rangers	2:0 ✺
05.11.24	Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough	1:4 ✺
02.11.24	Queens Park Rangers - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Burnley - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.01.24	Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City	1:2
12.08.23	Cardiff City - Queens Park Rangers	1:2
26.12.22	Cardiff City - Queens Park Rangers	0:0
19.10.22	Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City	3:0
05.03.22	Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City	1:2
03.11.21	Cardiff City - Queens Park Rangers	0:1
20.01.21	Cardiff City - Queens Park Rangers	0:1

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