The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mansfield Town 29.1%
Draw 23.4%
Cardiff City 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.8%
23.9%
52.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.3%
23.4%
53.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mansfield Town's performance.
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Mansfield Town - Cardiff City Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cardiff will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roberts L. (G) 2. Knoyle K. 9. Bowery J. 5. Sweeney R. (C) 25. Reed L. 22. Moriah-Welsh N. 13. Russell J. 24. Hendry R. 18. Oates R. 7. Akins L. 11. Evans W.
30. Tyrer H. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 2. Fish W. 48. Lawlor D. 3. Bagan J. 27. Colwill J. 14. Turnbull D. 11. Tanner O. 10. Colwill R. (C) 16. Willock C. 22. Salech Y.
Substitutes
14. Dwyer D. 28. Gardner J. 32. Hartmann E. 44. Irow O. 3. McLaughlin S. 29. Roberts T. 34. Taylor O.
39. Davies I. 8. Kellyman O. 71. Moreno P. 18. Robertson A. 55. Tankiewicz R. 41. Turner M. (G) 70. Williams N.
Coaches
Clough N.
Barry-Murphy B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Sweeney R. ⚽, Moriah-Welsh N. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Akins L. ⚽, Reed L. (A),
26', 3 - 0, Akins L. ⚽, Evans W. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 4)
57', Colwill J. ↓, Kellyman O. ↑,
57', Turnbull D. ↓, Robertson A. ↑,
57', Willock C. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
61', 3 - 1, Davies I. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
63', 4 - 1, Oates R. ⚽, Reed L. (A),
65', Kellyman O. 🟨,
66', 4 - 2, Kellyman O. ⚽, Colwill R. (A),
70', Bagan J. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
72', Bowery J. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
76', Oates R. ↓, Gardner J. ↑,
76', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, Irow O. ↑,
79', 5 - 2, Irow O. ⚽, Reed L. (A),
82', Hendry R. 🟨,
84', Reed L. ↓, Taylor O. ↑,
84', Hendry R. ↓, Hartmann E. ↑,
86', 5 - 3, Kpakio R. ⚽,
88', Colwill R. ↓, Moreno P. ↑,
90+2', Irow O. 🟨,
90+3', 5 - 4, Kellyman O. ⚽, Davies I. (A),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Mansfield is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cardiff is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Cardiff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Mansfield has had a series of away games.
Cardiff might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Mansfield: Abbott G.
(Inactive)
Cargill B.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Cardiff: Ashford C.
(Inactive)
Chambers C.
(Inactive)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Mansfield: Blake-Tracy F.
(Inactive)
Bolton L.
(Calf Injury)
Maris G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Oshilaja A.
(Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
United-kingdom
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Roberts L. (G) 
Bowery J. 
Sweeney R. (C) 
Moriah-Welsh N. 
Russell J. 
Hendry R. 
Akins L. 
Evans W. 
Salech Y. 
Dwyer D. 
Robertson A. 
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