Match Info

WALES: League Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday

Location: Cardiff International Sports Campus (Cardiff)


	Cardiff City U21		Cardiff Metropolitan

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.33	3.5
	1.68	4.5	3.75	Watch
	1.68	4.91	3.12
	1.69	4.67	3.53	Watch
	1.67	4.33	3.4
	1.67	4	4
	1.68	4.5	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)	4.46 ↓ (4.99)	3.58 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City U21
54.2%

Draw
20.4%

Cardiff Metropolitan
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

18.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

17.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Cardiff City U21 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Cardiff City U21 - Cardiff Metropolitan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Turner M. (G) . Barton M. 7. Cook F. (C) 19. Davies T. . George T. 49. Giles L. 50. Jefferies I. 44. Kpakio R. 51. Mafico D. 46. Reindorf M. 52. Twose C.	1. Lang A. (C) 2. Chubb M. 16. Craven C. 3. Edwards J. 7. Evans E. 8. Kabongo D. 9. Rees L. 6. Reynolds R. 11. Roscrow A. 4. Veale J. 29. Vincent T.
Substitutes
. Fleming C. 71. Johnson B. 53. Nyakuhwa T. . Perrett T. . Thomas J. (G) . Thomas J. 54. Wigley M.	24. Bullock C. 17. Cadwallader E. 18. Gibbins C. J. 15. Morgan G. 14. Morris J. 23. Roberts B. 41. Saunders

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Craven C. 🟨,
40', Barton M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
58', Roscrow A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Vincent T. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, George T. ⚽,
68', Barton M. ↓, Nyakuhwa T. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Evans E. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Reindorf M. ⚽,
87', Rees L. ↓, Roberts B. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 2, Reindorf M. ⚽,
90+3', Veale J. 🟨,
90+3', Chubb M. 🟨,

Preview

Cardiff U21 is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cardiff Metropolitan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cardiff U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cardiff U21 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City U21
English Premier League Cup
17.10.24	Watford U21 - Cardiff City U21	0:2 ✺
English Professional Development League
05.10.24	Cardiff City U21 - Charlton Athletic U21	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Cardiff City U21 - Ipswich Town U21	2:2 ✺
27.09.24	Sheffield United U21 - Cardiff City U21	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Brentford U21 - Cardiff City U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWTLW
- Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Welsh FA Cup
18.10.24	Pen-y-Bont - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.10.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pen-y-Bont	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	The New Saints - Cardiff Metropolitan	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	Cardiff Metropolitan - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Haverfordwest County - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTLLL

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