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Current Win Probability
Cardiff Metropolitan 34.7%
Draw 27.1%
Flint Town United 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
26.8%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
27%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Flint Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Town United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Cardiff Metropolitan - Flint Town United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flint Town (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Griffiths E. (G) 16. Craven C. 3. Edwards J. 20. John H. 8. Kabongo D. 19. Mwandwe L. 17. Payne J. 33. Raison T. 11. Roscrow A. 21. Soady B. 4. Walsh L.
1. Flint J. (G) 14. Abadaki O. 3. Burke M. 21. Canavan J. 19. Jonas L. 5. Owen H. 7. Phillips J. 9. Reeves E. 4. Sanogo Fofana S. 6. Thorn J. 2. Woollam B.
Substitutes
26. Good O. 29. Matthews H. 14. Morris J. 13. Seager S. (G) 28. Stephens J. 37. Sweetman M. 22. Williams J.
8. Hughes B. 11. Jones J. 15. Purvis M. 34. Stephenson D. 13. Szczepaniak D. (G) 10. Wynne B.
Coaches
Jenkins R.
Evans S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Canavan J. ⚽,
45+3', Canavan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', Kabongo D. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
64', Canavan J. ↓, Hughes B. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Morris J. ⚽,
73', Soady B. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
73', Roscrow A. ↓, Matthews H. ↑,
75', Abadaki O. ↓, Stephenson D. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Hughes B. ⚽,
81', Owen H. 🟥,
82', Reeves E. ↓, Purvis M. ↑,
82', 🟨,
83', 2 - 2, Craven C. ⚽,
85', Hughes B. 🟥,
86', John H. ↓, Good O. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 3.
Cardiff Metropolitan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Flint Town is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Flint Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:19. (average 1.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff Metropolitan won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).
United-kingdom
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Griffiths E. (G) 
Edwards J. 
Abadaki O. 
Sanogo Fofana S. 
Stephenson D. 
Szczepaniak D. (G) 
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