Match Info

League Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Cyncoed Campus (Cardiff)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD


	Cardiff Metropolitan		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.25	7
	1.3	5.5	6.8
	1.3	5.39	6.43
	1.44	4.51	6.09	Watch
	1.26	5.45	8.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.23)	5.22 ↓ (5.75)	6.89 ↓ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Metropolitan
69.3%

Draw
17.5%

Pontypridd United
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.5%

15.7%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Metropolitan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Cardiff Metropolitan - Pontypridd United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Rees L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Rees L. ⚽,
60', 3 - 0, Jones S. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 0, Roscrow A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 4.

Cardiff Metropolitan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cardiff Metropolitan is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cardiff Metropolitan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:2. (average 1.6:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff Metropolitan won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.8:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Metropolitan University FC
Club Friendly
25.07.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Newport City	1:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru Premier
11.05.25	Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 penalties ✺
26.04.25	Cardiff Metropolitan - Bala Town	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWL
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
27.07.25	Baglan Dragons - Pontypridd United	3:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	1:0 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Pontypridd United - Newport County	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Pontypridd United - Llanelli	1:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
12.04.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontypridd United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
19.12.23	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pontypridd United	1:0
Welsh Cymru Premier
28.10.23	Pontypridd United - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:3
08.09.23	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pontypridd United	2:0
Club Friendly
01.08.23	Pontypridd United - Cardiff Metropolitan	Canceled
Welsh Cymru Premier
02.12.22	Pontypridd United - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:1
30.08.22	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pontypridd United	3:0
Welsh FA Cup
07.12.19	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pontypridd United	1:0

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