Match Info

Cymru South - Round 27

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Trethomas Bluebirds		Pontypridd United

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.45	2.2
	2.76	3.61	2.18
	2.83	3.82	2.2	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.15
	2.77	3.6	2.16
	2.75	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	3.53 ↓ (3.59)	2.18 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Trethomas Bluebirds
32.8%

Draw
25.6%

Pontypridd United
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

25.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

24.4%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trethomas Bluebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontypridd United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Hood J. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Jones J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Shaw J. (Penalty Awarded),
64', 2 - 2, Newman Jones A. (Own goal),
78', 3 - 2, Newman Jones A. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 2, Rees O. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 11)

Trethomas Bluebirds has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pontypridd is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Trethomas Bluebirds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trethomas Bluebirds won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Trethomas Bluebirds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pontypridd	9	6	1	2	23:16	7	19
10	Trethomas Bluebirds	9	2	4	3	17:17	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trethomas Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
14.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:0 ✺
09.03.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Newport City	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Carmarthen Town	4:5 ✺
01.03.26	Cambrian United - Trethomas Bluebirds	4:2 ✺
20.02.26	Afan Lido - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLL
- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
17.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontypridd United	2:5 ✺
14.03.26	Treowen Stars - Pontypridd United	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Pontypridd United - Llantwit Major	0:4 ✺
21.02.26	Pontypridd United - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Ynyshir Albions - Pontypridd United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
28.11.25	Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:1
12.04.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontypridd United	4:0
14.09.24	Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:3

Upcoming Matches