The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caernarfon Town 55.7%
Draw 23%
Cardiff Metropolitan 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60%
21.4%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.4%
20.9%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caernarfon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Caernarfon Town - Cardiff Metropolitan Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Caernarfon (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Roberts C. (G) 19. Bradley S. 9. Davies A. 17. Downey S. 8. Gosset D. 24. Harrison K. 3. Jones M. 6. Lewis I. 23. Lock J. 27. Sears R. 15. Smith D.
13. Seager S. (G) 2. Chubb M. 16. Craven C. 7. Evans E. 10. Jones S. 8. Kabongo D. 14. Morris J. 19. Mwandwe L. 6. Reynolds R. 5. Richards S. 11. Roscrow A.
Substitutes
12. Abadaki O. 39. Ellis O. 21. Evans C. 5. Mooney P. 2. Owen M. 22. Roberts H. 13. Thomas H. (G)
1. Absalom K. (G) 12. Lonergan R. 15. Morgan G. 17. Payne J. 9. Rees L. 21. Soady B.
Coaches
Davies R.
Jenkins R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Roscrow A. ⚽,
34', Richards S. 🟨,
38', Harrison K. 🟨,
44', Harrison K. ↓, Owen M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, Mwandwe L. ⚽,
64', Lewis I. ↓, Abadaki O. ↑,
68', Roscrow A. ↓, Payne J. ↑,
75', Evans E. ↓, Rees L. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Payne J. ⚽,
80', Bradley S. ↓, Mooney P. ↑,
80', Lock J. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
80', Sears R. ↓, Ellis O. ↑,
83', Gosset D. 🟨,
86', Morris J. ↓, Soady B. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 3.
Caernarfon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Cardiff Metropolitan is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Caernarfon is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Caernarfon will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:22. (average 2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 2.3:0.9).
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Roberts C. (G) 
Harrison K. 
Abadaki O. 
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