Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Coyella Fonseca (San José)


	Guadalupe		Cariari Pococí

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.4	3.4
	1.88	3.55	3.5
	1.93	3.63	3.69	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.6
	1.85	3.5	3.67
	1.88	3.55	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.12)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	3.56 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guadalupe
48.5%

Draw
25.9%

Cariari Pococí
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

25.4%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guadalupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guadalupe's performance.

Cariari Pococí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cariari Pococí than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Guadalupe - Cariari Pococí Predictions

Users Predictions: Guadalupe will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+10', 🟥,
90+10', 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalupe won 3.

Guadalupe in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Cariari is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guadalupe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guadalupe will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Guadalupe won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:14 (average 1.9:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Guadalupe won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Guadalupe - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.38%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
17.03.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Guadalupe	0:1 ✺
10.03.25	Guadalupe - Escorpiones de Belén	3:2 ✺
05.03.25	Desamparados - Guadalupe	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Aserrí - Guadalupe	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Guadalupe - Uruguay de Coronado	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWW
- AD Cariari Pococí
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
16.03.25	Cariari Pococí - Limon Black Star	1:0 ✺
06.03.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Cariari Pococí	4:1 ✺
03.03.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Cariari Pococí	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Cariari Pococí - Desamparados	4:0 ✺
19.02.25	Aserrí - Cariari Pococí	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
06.02.25	Cariari Pococí - Guadalupe	3:1
02.10.24	Cariari Pococí - Guadalupe	3:1
28.08.24	Guadalupe - Cariari Pococí	3:0
09.03.24	Guadalupe - Cariari Pococí	3:0
27.01.24	Cariari Pococí - Guadalupe	1:2
03.12.23	Cariari Pococí - Guadalupe	3:2 ET
26.11.23	Guadalupe - Cariari Pococí	2:2

Upcoming Matches