Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 38

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Carlisle United		Bromley

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3
	2.3	3.4	3	Watch
	2.29	3.4	3.01
	2.3	3.32	3.03	Watch
	2.3	3.2	3.2
	2.28	3.51	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.06)	3.38 ↓ (3.46)	3.02 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
41.2%

Draw
27.8%

Bromley
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Bromley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bromley than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	8.3%	50%

Carlisle United - Bromley Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Bromley will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bromley: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Breeze G. (G) 2. Davies A. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 4. Thomas T. 3. Harper C. 16. Vela J. 43. Whelan C. 40. Harris K. 39. Wearne S. 11. Jones J. 19. Dennis M.	1. Smith G. (G) 18. Whitely C. 3. Elerewe D. 17. Webster B. (C) 34. Mayor A. 20. Arthurs J. 4. Charles A. 13. McKirdy H. 32. Thompson B. 31. Ilunga B. 9. Cheek M.
Substitutes
37. Bevan J. 18. Ellis J. 44. Embleton E. 45. Fusire S. 8. Guy C. 9. Kelly G. 1. Lewis H. (G)	19. Ifill M. 25. Imray D. 26. Kabamba N. 12. Long S. (G) 30. Odutayo I. 37. Paul Lavaly N. 5. Sowunmi O.
Coaches
Hughes M	Woodman A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Wearne S. ⚽, Dennis M. (A),
28', 1 - 1, McKirdy H. ⚽, Cheek M. (A),
28', McKirdy H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Webster B. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Whelan C. ⚽, Wearne S. (A),
56', Davies A. 🟨,
57', McKirdy H. ↓, Imray D. ↑,
62', Harper C. 🟨,
66', Charles A. ↓, Kabamba N. ↑,
69', Mayor A. 🟨,
69', Vela J. 🟨,
69', Vela J. ↓, Guy C. ↑,
79', Ilunga B. ↓, Ifill M. ↑,
81', Dennis M. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
90+2', Wearne S. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
90+4', Bevan J. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Carlisle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Carlisle will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Carlisle: Barclay B. (Inactive) Dummett P. (Inactive) McGeouch D. (Inactive) Williams J. (Injury) Wyke Ch. (Broken ankle)

There will not play in Bromley: Dinanga M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Carlisle: McArthur C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bromley: Imray D. (Injury) Jenkinson C. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English League Two
15.03.25	Carlisle United - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Harrogate Town - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
04.03.25	Carlisle United - Walsall	1:1 ✺
27.02.25	Barrow - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Carlisle United - Gillingham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTWT
- Bromley FC
English League Two
13.03.25	Bromley - Walsall	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Tranmere Rovers - Bromley	2:1 ✺
04.03.25	Bromley - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	AFC Wimbledon - Bromley	0:1 ✺
25.02.25	Bromley - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
16.11.24	Bromley - Carlisle United	1:1

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