Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 33

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)


	Carlisle United		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3	Watch
	2.47	3.19	3.1
	2.42	3.11	3.02	Watch
	2.38	3.1	3.1
	2.41	3.11	3.01	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.58)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	3.02 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
38.7%

Draw
30.1%

Gillingham
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.2%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28.6%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Carlisle United - Gillingham Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Breeze G. (G) 2. Davies A. 4. Thomas T. 5. Lavelle S. 3. Harper C. 37. Bevan J. 8. Guy C. 44. Embleton E. 43. Whelan C. 40. Harris K. 19. Dennis M.	1. Morris G. (G) 2. Hutton R. 15. Smith A. 5. Ehmer M. 30. Gale S. 3. Clark M. 14. McKenzie R. 36. Corness D. 8. Little A. 20. Nevitt E. 29. Gbode J.
Substitutes
18. Ellis J. 6. Hayden A. 17. Hugill J. 1. Lewis H. (G) 42. Patching W. 20. Scott C. 39. Wearne S.	17. Clarke J. 23. Dack B. 12. Hawkins O. 16. Khumbeni N. 19. Morgan J. 7. Nolan J. 25. Turner J. (G)
Coaches
Hughes M	Coleman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Hutton R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Corness D. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
64', Guy C. ↓, Patching W. ↑,
64', Bevan J. ↓, Scott C. ↑,
64', Davies A. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
74', Gbode J. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
74', Embleton E. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
74', Dennis M. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
77', Ehmer M. 🟨,
80', Ellis J. 🟨,
90+1', Harris K. 🟨,
90+1', Nevitt E. ↓, Khumbeni N. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Liverpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Liverpool is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 13 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 40:20 (average 2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25:9 (average 2.5:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Gillingham - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.6%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English League Two
15.02.25	Carlisle United - Colchester United	0:0 ✺
11.02.25	Newport County - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Grimsby Town - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Carlisle United - Swindon Town	1:5 ✺
28.01.25	Notts County - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- Gillingham FC
English League Two
15.02.25	Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
11.02.25	Walsall - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Barrow - Gillingham	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Gillingham - Notts County	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Grimsby Town - Gillingham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
10.08.24	Gillingham - Carlisle United	4:1
25.03.23	Gillingham - Carlisle United	1:0
27.08.22	Carlisle United - Gillingham	1:0
English FA Cup
19.12.17	Carlisle United - Gillingham	3:1
02.12.17	Gillingham - Carlisle United	1:1
English League One
08.02.14	Carlisle United - Gillingham	1:2
02.11.13	Gillingham - Carlisle United	1:0

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