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Current Win Probability
Barrow 43.1%
Draw 29.3%
Carlisle United 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
26.9%
36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
26.9%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barrow's performance.
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barrow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.8%
3.4%
13.8%
Barrow - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 23 - 82.1%). Carlisle will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 67.9% – 96.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Farman P. (G) 16. Foley S. 6. Canavan N. (C) 5. Cameron K. 30. Jackson B. 15. Gotts R. 14. Williams M. 34. Whitfield B. 8. Spence K. 9. Smith T. 20. Acquah E.
13. Breeze G. (G) 2. Davies A. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 4. Thomas T. 3. Harper C. 8. Guy C. 43. Whelan C. 20. Scott C. 44. Embleton E. 40. Harris K. 19. Dennis M.
Substitutes
18. Barnes S. 26. Fletcher I. 23. Mahoney C. 11. Newby E. 33. Pressley A. 21. Stanway W. (G)
37. Bevan J. 18. Ellis J. 17. Hugill J. 1. Lewis H. (G) 42. Patching W. 16. Vela J. 39. Wearne S.
Coaches
Whing A.
Hughes M
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Scott C. (A),
36', Cameron K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Embleton E. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
76', Acquah E. ↓, Pressley A. ↑,
77', Whelan C. ↓, Vela J. ↑,
77', Guy C. ↓, Patching W. ↑,
81', Canavan N. 🟨,
83', Spence K. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
87', Dennis M. 🟨,
89', Dennis M. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
89', Harris K. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
90+2', Davies A. 🟨,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 1.
Recent matches Barrow is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Carlisle is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Barrow will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Barrow: Campbell D.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Carlisle: Dummett P.
(Inactive)
Kelly G.
(Inactive)
McGeouch D.
(Inactive)
Vela J.
(Inactive)
Williams J.
(Injury)
Wyke Ch.
(Broken ankle)
There are questionable in Barrow: Barnes S.
(Inactive)
Kouyate K.
(Inactive)
Popov C.
(Inactive)
Vassell T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Carlisle: Barclay B.
(Inactive)
Jones J.
(Inactive)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).
Asia
Australia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Bulgaria
Canada
Czech-republic
Denmark
Finland
Greece
Iceland
India
Ireland
Japan
Netherlands
North-macedonia
Norway
Poland
Serbia
Singapore
Slovakia
Sweden
United-kingdom
Usa
Watch
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Farman P. (G) 
Foley S. 
Cameron K. 
Williams M. 
Thomas T. 
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