The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carlisle United 46.2%
Draw 27.1%
Grimsby Town 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
27%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
26.3%
28.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
28.6%
0%
Carlisle United - Grimsby Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lewis H. (G) 2. Davies A. 5. Lavelle S. 26. Barclay B. 3. Harper C. 24. Sadi D. 16. Vela J. 12. Biggins H. 11. Jones J. 29. Armstrong L. 10. Wyke Ch. (C)
12. Eastwood J. (G) 21. Warren T. 24. Tharme D. 5. Rodgers H. 17. McJannett C. 33. Hume D. 20. McEachran G. 14. Barrington L. 30. Khouri E. 32. Rose D. (C) 25. Wilson D.
Substitutes
13. Breeze G. (G) 25. Dudik A. 18. Ellis J. 22. Mellish J. 17. Neal H. 32. O'Donoghue F. 4. Thomas T.
16. Ainley C. 41. Auton S. (G) 3. Carson M. 2. Cass L. 22. Gardner C. 9. Pyke R. 11. Svanthorsson J.
Coaches
Williamson M.
Artell D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Lavelle S. ⚽, Harper C. (A),
16', Eastwood J. ↓, Auton S. ↑,
24', 1 - 1, Barrington L. ⚽, Hume D. (A),
27', 2 - 1, Sadi D. ⚽, Davies A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Warren T. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
55', Vela J. 🟨,
58', Sadi D. 🟨,
61', Barclay B. 🟨,
68', Barrington L. ↓, Ainley C. ↑,
79', Wilson D. ↓, Svanthorsson J. ↑,
79', Tharme D. ↓, Gardner C. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Cass L. ⚽, Hume D. (A),
87', Biggins H. ↓, Mellish J. ↑,
87', Sadi D. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Rodgers H. ⚽, Ainley C. (A),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2.
Carlisle is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Grimsby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Grimsby have a series of home games.
Carlisle will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.
Watch
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Lewis H. (G) 
Lavelle S. 
Jones J. 
Dudik A. 
Thomas T. 
Svanthorsson J. 
Artell D. 
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