The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carlisle United 43.6%
Draw 28%
Tranmere Rovers 28.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
27.6%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
28.1%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.
Tranmere Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tranmere Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
10%
80%
Carlisle United - Tranmere Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Tranmere will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tranmere: 55.2% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lewis H. (G) 2. Davies A. 6. Hayden A. 4. Thomas T. 22. Mellish J. 20. Williams B. 17. Neal H. 11. Jones J. 16. Vela J. 10. Wyke Ch. (C) 14. Adu Adjei D.
1. McGee L. (G) 2. Norman C. 5. Davies T. (C) 6. Turnbull J. 3. Bradshaw Z. 30. Patrick O. 22. O'Connor L. 16. Merrie C. 23. Wood C. 18. Jennings C. 10. Davison J.
Substitutes
29. Armstrong L. 26. Barclay B. 13. Breeze G. (G) 18. Ellis J. 5. Lavelle S. . O'Donoghue F. 24. Sadi D.
14. Dennis K. 8. Hendry R. 7. Morris K. 13. Murphy J. (G) 19. Saunders H. 21. Solomon S. 25. Williams J.
Coaches
Simpson P.
Adkins N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Patrick O. ⚽, Bradshaw Z. (A),
7', 1 - 1, Davies A. ⚽, Adu Adjei D. (A),
37', 1 - 2, Patrick O. ⚽, Jennings C. (A),
45+1', Jones J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Vela J. ↓, Sadi D. ↑,
60', Davison J. ↓, Saunders H. ↑,
66', Hayden A. ↓, Barclay B. ↑,
78', Williams B. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
78', Jones J. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
85', Ellis J. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Carlisle will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-11.
Watch
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Lewis H. (G) 
Thomas T. 
Williams B. 
Jones J. 
O'Connor L. 
Lavelle S. 
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