The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milton Keynes Dons 52.1%
Draw 25%
Carlisle United 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
25.7%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
25.5%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
The ML Model estimate for Carlisle United aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
0%
12.5%
Milton Keynes Dons - Carlisle United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. McGill T. (G) 5. Sherring S. 23. Maguire L. 17. Offord L. 16. Nemane A. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 28. Carroll T. 14. Tomlinson J. 11. Wearne S. 22. Hendry C. 8. Gilbey A. (C)
1. Lewis H. (G) 2. Davies A. 6. Hayden A. 5. Lavelle S. 20. Williams B. 22. Mellish J. 16. Vela J. 26. Barclay B. 17. Neal H. 14. Adu Adjei D. 10. Wyke Ch. (C)
Substitutes
12. Harness N. (G) 9. Harrison E. 18. Leigh T. 3. Lewington D. 34. Tripp C. 4. Tucker J. 6. Williams M.
27. Allan J. 29. Armstrong L. 13. Breeze G. (G) 11. Butterworth D. 18. Ellis J. 9. Kelly G. 49. Sadi D.
Coaches
Williamson M.
Simpson P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Hendry C. ⚽, Nemane A. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Gilbey A. ⚽, Nemane A. (A),
38', Wearne S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barclay B. ↓, Sadi D. ↑,
54', Offord L. ↓, Tucker J. ↑,
67', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
73', Wyke Ch. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
73', Williams B. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
75', Nemane A. 🟨,
80', Wearne S. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
80', Hendry C. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
85', Kelly G. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
89', Nemane A. ↓, Tripp C. ↑,
90', Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Tomlinson J. ⚽, Leigh T. (A),
90+8', Tripp C. 🟨,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 2.
MK Dons has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Carlisle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match MK Dons is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.
Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.
Watch
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McGill T. (G) 
Sherring S. 
Nemane A. 
Lemonheigh-Evans C. 
Hendry C. 
Kelly G. 
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