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Current Win Probability
Carlos A. Mannucci 30.9%
Draw 29.7%
Atlético Grau 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
29.7%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
31.2%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlos A. Mannucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos A. Mannucci's form might have worsened.
Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Grau's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlos A. Mannucci, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Grau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Carlos A. Mannucci - Atlético Grau Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mannucci will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Heredia M. (G) 24. Rizzo G. 19. Miguez P. 13. Llontop M. 4. Saba E. 6. Viera G. 16. Benitez A. 33. Hurtado C. 23. Mimbela W. 22. Urruti L. 7. Succar A.
1. Alvarez P. (G) 15. Rostaing J. 27. Tapia R. 13. Franco D. (C) 6. Rodas E. 11. Bandiera N. 8. Soto D. 5. Guarderas R. 10. de la Cruz P. 22. Vivanco P. 9. Sandoval T.
Substitutes
1. Barbieri J. (G) 14. Cortave M. 11. Cortes J. 2. Cossio A. 5. Gaona M. 17. Liza P. 88. Quina N. 15. Velarde C. 21. Vidales J.
2. Ampuero A. 17. Figueroa N. 16. F. Rojas 24. Fuentes A. (G) 29. Garcia Ceriani B. 23. Oncoy F. 3. Reyes J. 4. Rosell Delgado J. A. 20. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Mendes M.
Comizzo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Rizzo G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Viera G. ↓, Velarde C. ↑,
59', Hurtado C. 🟨,
59', Urruti L. 🟨,
62', Hurtado C. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
75', Mimbela W. 🟨,
75', Vivanco P. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑,
79', Succar A. 🟨,
80', Succar A. ↓, Cossio A. ↑,
81', Rodas E. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Vasquez A. ⚽,
87', Sandoval T. ↓, Oncoy F. ↑,
90', Saba E. ↓, Vidales J. ↑,
90', Mimbela W. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Mannucci won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Mannucci won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Mannucci won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.