The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Grau 29%
Draw 29.6%
Sporting Cristal 41.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
30.1%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
29.6%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.
Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Cristal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez P. (C) 27. Tapia R. 2. Acevedo L. 16. Ataupillco J. 32. Torres S. 66. de la Cruz A. 5. Guarderas R. 6. Rodas E. 22. Neira C. 9. Ruidiaz R. 10. de la Cruz P.
1. Enriquez D. (G) 8. Sosa L. 96. Abram L. 5. Lutiger R. 90. Cristiano 55. Cazonatti G. 25. Tavara M. 7. Gonzalez S. 19. Yotun Y. (C) 23. Castro M. 11. Avila I.
Substitutes
25. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 7. Barreto D. 33. Calderon A. (G) 19. Camargo I. 11. Delgadillo N. 13. Oncoy F. 4. Rodriguez D. 24. Ruidiaz Y. 20. Vásquez C.
33. Bautista C. (G) 14. Benavente C. 32. Diaz L. 18. Gonzalez J. 16. Iberico L. 28. Otoya D. 15. Posito Olazabal A. J. 9. Vizeu F. 26. Wisdom I.
Coaches
Ameli G.
Ze Ricardo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Ruidiaz R. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Ataupillco J. ⚽,
44', Abram L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Cazonatti G. ↓, Wisdom I. ↑,
46', Castro M. ↓, Iberico L. ↑,
51', Tavara M. 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Ruidiaz R. ⚽,
55', Tavara M. ↓, Vizeu F. ↑,
56', Neira C. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Vizeu F. ⚽, Gonzalez S. (A),
65', Gonzalez S. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
66', Ataupillco J. ↓, Oncoy F. ↑,
66', Torres S. ↓, Delgadillo N. ↑,
67', Neira C. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Delgadillo N. ⚽, Guarderas R. (A),
70', Delgadillo N. 🟨,
78', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
78', Acevedo L. 🟨,
80', Avila I. ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
81', Yotun Y. 🟨,
88', de la Cruz P. ↓, Vásquez C. ↑,
90+4', 4 - 1, Camargo I. ⚽, Rodas E. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Sporting Cristal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sporting Cristal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gabriel
(Knee Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grau won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.2:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1.1:2.3).
Peru
Usa
Watch
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Alvarez P. (C) 
Tapia R. 
Sosa L. 
Cristiano 
Barreto D. 
Camargo I. 
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