Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Mansiche (Trujillo)


	Carlos A. Mannucci		Ayacucho

	1	X	2
	1.72	4	4.33	Watch
	1.7	3.7	3.8
	1.73	4.1	3.75
	1.74	3.8	3.8
	1.84	3.89	3.77
	1.75	3.8	3.8	Watch
	1.75	4.25	3.82	Watch
	1.76	3.9	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 (1.75)	3.93 ↑ (3.4)	3.87 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos A. Mannucci
52.7%

Draw
23.5%

Ayacucho
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

27%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

26.6%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos A. Mannucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	10%	15%

Carlos A. Mannucci - Ayacucho Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mannucci will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Ayacucho will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannucci: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mannucci won 1.

Recent matches Mannucci is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ayacucho is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ayacucho could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mannucci will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mannucci won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Mannucci won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos A. Mannucci
Peruvian Liga 1
25.09.22	Carlos Stein - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	ADT Tarma - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:1 ✺
11.09.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Cienciano - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLT
- Ayacucho FC
Peruvian Liga 1
19.09.22	Ayacucho - Alianza Atlético	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Atlético Grau - Ayacucho	3:0 ✺
02.09.22	Ayacucho - Sport Boys	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Universitario de Deportes - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
19.08.22	Cajamarca - Ayacucho	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
08.05.22	Ayacucho - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:2
01.10.21	Ayacucho - Carlos A. Mannucci	3:2
08.05.21	Carlos A. Mannucci - Ayacucho	1:1
30.11.20	Ayacucho - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:0
01.09.20	Ayacucho - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:2
12.07.19	Ayacucho - Carlos A. Mannucci	1:0
16.02.19	Carlos A. Mannucci - Ayacucho	4:4

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