Match Info

Catarinense - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)


	Carlos Renaux		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.51	3.35	1.77
	4.48	3.46	1.79	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.8
	4.42	3.28	1.76
	4.33	3.33	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.39 ↑ (3.48)	3.3 ↑ (3.02)	1.78 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Renaux
20.8%

Draw
27.7%

Figueirense
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

30.1%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

29.8%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Renaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlos Renaux's form might have worsened.

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Figueirense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Renaux than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlos Renaux, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Figueirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carlos Renaux - Figueirense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Figueirense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Edson (G) 2. Arouca 9. Erverson 11. Gustavo Sobral Alves Pereira L. 7. Matheus Campos 10. Pato 8. Ruan 3. Tiago Santana (C) 5. Vitor Carre 4. Welligton Rocha 6. Yago Zamora	12. Fabricio Santana (G) 4. Anderson Conceicao 6. Arthur Henrique 5. Breno 22. Ezequiel 27. Felipe Santiago 8. Flavio 70. Igor Bolt 99. Kayke 28. Rafinha Potiguar 88. Silvinho
Substitutes
21. Cassio 22. Eduardo Lopes (G) 14. Felipe Aquino 17. Gabriel Mello 23. Guilherme Henrique 16. Guto 15. Keven 13. Rondinele 19. Tavares 18. Thiago Tinoco 12. Thierry (G) 20. Welves	3. Douglas Bacelar 98. Dudu Sampaio 33. Freitas Barreto P. C. 91. Hyuri 52. Igo Gabriel (G) 30. Jean Mangabeira 25. Jhonnathan 10. Jorginho 2. Leo Maia 17. Pablo 79. Reifit 66. Wesley Costa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Matheus Campos ⚽,
16', Silvinho ↓, Reifit ↑,
20', Pato 🟨,
30', Pato 🟥,
35', Flavio 🟨,
43', Arthur Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ezequiel ↓, Leo Maia ↑,
46', Flavio ↓, Wesley Costa ↑,
54', Erverson ↓, Tavares ↑,
60', Leo Maia 🟨,
64', Edson 🟨,
64', Matheus Campos 🟨,
66', Matheus Campos ↓, Welves ↑,
66', Breno ↓, Hyuri ↑,
74', Gustavo Sobral Alves Pereira L. ↓, Cassio ↑,
74', Arouca ↓, Keven ↑,
79', Reifit ↓, Pablo ↑,
85', Hyuri 🟨,

Preview

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Figueirense is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Carlos Renaux
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
25.01.26	Carlos Renaux - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:4 ✺
21.01.26	Joinville - Carlos Renaux	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Carlos Renaux - Camboriú	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Avaí - Carlos Renaux	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Brusque - Carlos Renaux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTLL
- Figueirense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
25.01.26	Figueirense - Camboriú	1:1 ✺
22.01.26	Concórdia - Figueirense	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Figueirense - Avaí	0:2 ✺
14.01.26	Brusque - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TLLLW

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