Match Info

Cymru South - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)


	Aberystwyth Town		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.75	3.9
	1.73	4.02	3.86
	1.8	3.95	3.84	Watch
	1.7	3.6	3.9
	1.67	3.9	4.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.8)	3.84 ↓ (3.95)	3.91 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
53%

Draw
23.7%

Afan Lido
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

23.7%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

24.4%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Aberystwyth Town - Afan Lido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Hall J. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberystwyth won 4.

Recent form of Aberystwyth has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Afan Lido has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Aberystwyth is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Aberystwyth won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:8. (average 2.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aberystwyth won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 4.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aberystwyth	8	6	1	1	22:8	14	19
9	Afan Lido	10	3	2	5	13:17	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
21.03.26	Cambrian United - Aberystwyth Town	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Trefelin - Aberystwyth Town	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Caerau Ely	0:4 ✺
24.02.26	Ammanford - Aberystwyth Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL
- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
23.03.26	Treowen Stars - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	4:1 ✺
13.03.26	Afan Lido - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Caerau Ely - Afan Lido	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	Afan Lido - Ammanford	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
27.09.25	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:1
Club Friendly
05.08.16	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:1
Welsh Cymru Premier
28.03.14	Aberystwyth Town - Afan Lido	7:1
18.02.14	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:6
30.11.13	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	2:1
26.08.13	Aberystwyth Town - Afan Lido	3:0
19.04.13	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:0

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