Match Info

Cymru South - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Treowen Stars		Carmarthen Town

	1	X	2
	4.85	4.55	1.46
	4.93	4.62	1.45
	5.08	4.98	1.49
	5	4.2	1.44
	5.43	4.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↓ (5.11)	4.59 ↑ (4.58)	1.45 (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treowen Stars
17.9%

Draw
19.7%

Carmarthen Town
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

19.8%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

19.4%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treowen Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treowen Stars than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Treowen Stars - Carmarthen Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Jenkins C. ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, Gameson T. ⚽,
86', 3 - 0, Davies C. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', 3 - 1, Cummings L. ⚽,
90+8', 4 - 1, Green L. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5).

Treowen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Carmarthen Town is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carmarthen Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carmarthen Town is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Treowen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Carmarthen Town	9	4	2	3	20:19	1	14
8	Treowen	9	4	1	4	18:18	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treowen Stars
Welsh Cymru South
03.04.26	Trefelin - Treowen Stars	6:0 ✺
28.03.26	Treowen Stars - Ammanford	1:5 ✺
23.03.26	Treowen Stars - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Newport City - Treowen Stars	2:3 ✺
17.03.26	Treowen Stars - Baglan Dragons	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLLWW
- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
04.04.26	Carmarthen Town - Pontypridd United	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Baglan Dragons - Carmarthen Town	0:7 ✺
21.03.26	Carmarthen Town - Ynyshir Albions	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Carmarthen Town	2:3 ✺
06.03.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Carmarthen Town	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
12.09.25	Carmarthen Town - Treowen Stars	1:1

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