Match Info

Cymru South - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Caerau Ely		Penrhiwceiber Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.4	5
	1.55	4.39	5.24	Watch
	1.49	4.3	5.11
	1.49	4.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.73)	4.37 ↑ (3.84)	5.09 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
61%

Draw
21%

Penrhiwceiber Rangers
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

23.8%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

23.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caerau Ely's performance.

Penrhiwceiber Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penrhiwceiber Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caerau Ely that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhiwceiber Rangers than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Caerau Ely - Penrhiwceiber Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 0 - 1, Hughes H. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Caerau is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Penrhiwceiber is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Caerau is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caerau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
21.03.25	Caerau Ely - Goytre United	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Llanelli - Caerau Ely	3:1 ✺
28.02.25	Caerau Ely - Taffs Well AFC	3:1 ✺
21.02.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	1:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.02.25	Caerau Ely - Gap Connahs Quay	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLWLL
- Penrhiwceiber Rangers
Welsh Cymru South
22.03.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:0 ✺
12.03.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Cambrian United	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Trefelin - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
21.02.25	Pontypridd United - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
26.12.24	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Caerau Ely	0:4

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