Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 17

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Carpi		Vis Pesaro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.32	2.98	3.05
	2.25	2.99	3.34
	2.24	3.09	3.16	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.1
	2.25	2.92	3.18	Watch
	2.3	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.35)	2.96 ↓ (2.97)	3.17 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
40.4%

Draw
30.8%

Vis Pesaro
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.7%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.5%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Carpi - Vis Pesaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Carpi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Vis Pesaro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 19. Rossini M. 4. Zagnoni D. 17. Lombardi L. 16. Tcheuna R. 29. Rosetti M. 5. Figoli M. 7. Cecotti T. 11. Casarini F. 72. Cortesi M. (C) 9. Gerbi E.	1. Pozzi A. (G) 3. Zoia R. 6. Di Renzo G. 13. Primasso A. 15. Ceccacci M. 24. Berengo N. 7. Pucciarelli M. 21. Vezzoni F. 11. Stabile D. P. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 9. Nicastro F.
Substitutes
8. Amayah P. 70. Arcopinto A. 20. Forte R. 18. Mahrani Y. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 80. Pietra N. 23. Sall A. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 10. Stanzani L. 26. Toure M. 77. Visani R.	77. Ascione S. 30. Beghetto A. 4. Bove D. 19. Ferrari T. 22. Fratti D. (G) 20. Giovannini R. 16. Guarnone A. (G) 55. Mariani E. 8. Nina C. 17. Paganini L. 5. Tonucci D. 99. Ventre A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Gerbi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Berengo N. ↓, Paganini L. ↑,
46', Di Renzo G. ↓, Bove D. ↑,
56', Gerbi E. 🟨,
59', Tcheuna R. 🟨,
60', Gerbi E. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
64', Paganini L. 🟨,
70', Ceccacci M. ↓, Giovannini R. ↑,
76', Tcheuna R. ↓, Pietra N. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Stabile D. P. ⚽,
85', Stabile D. P. ↓, Ferrari T. ↑,
89', Figoli M. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
90', Ferrari T. ↓, Ascione S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Carpi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Vis Pesaro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vis Pesaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carpi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Carpi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
30.11.25	Pontedera - Carpi	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Carpi - Rimini	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Pineto - Carpi	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Carpi - Livorno	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sassari Torres - Carpi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWLWW
- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
01.12.25	Vis Pesaro - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
24.11.25	Perugia - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Vis Pesaro - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ternana - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	Vis Pesaro - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
07.03.25	Carpi - Vis Pesaro	2:1
25.10.24	Vis Pesaro - Carpi	4:0
17.03.21	Carpi - Vis Pesaro	0:2
22.11.20	Vis Pesaro - Carpi	3:2
08.12.19	Vis Pesaro - Carpi	0:1

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