Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 13

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Sandro Cabassi (Carpi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Carpi		Livorno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.25
	2.24	3.23	3.25
	2.24	3.21	3.14	Watch
	2.16	3.04	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)	3.15 ↓ (3.21)	3.22 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carpi
42%

Draw
29.3%

Livorno
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.9%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Carpi - Livorno Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Livorno (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Livorno (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sorzi M. (G) 19. Rossini M. 6. Panelli T. 33. Pitti E. 16. Tcheuna R. 5. Figoli M. 8. Amayah P. 7. Cecotti T. 11. Casarini F. 10. Stanzani L. 72. Cortesi M. (C)	12. Seghetti J. (G) 2. Gentile D. 26. Noce M. 6. Monaco S. 5. Nwachukwu S. J. 44. Bonassi L. 28. Hamlili Z. 20. Haveri K. 17. Panaioli L. 9. Dionisi F. 13. Di Carmine S.
Substitutes
70. Arcopinto A. 9. Gerbi E. 17. Lombardi L. 18. Mahrani Y. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 80. Pietra N. 3. Rigo M. 29. Rosetti M. 23. Sall A. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 26. Toure M. 2. Verza N.	49. Baldi L. 14. Biondi K. 16. Calvosa A. 70. Cioffi A. 15. Ghezzi S. 11. Malva A. 95. Marchesi F. 23. Marinari J. 77. Mawete J. C. 4. Odjer M. 18. Panattoni M. 55. Peralta D. 1. Tani F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Stanzani L. ⚽,
41', Cortesi M. 🟨,
45', Bonassi L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bonassi L. ↓, Marchesi F. ↑,
59', Cecotti T. ↓, Rigo M. ↑,
59', Amayah P. ↓, Pietra N. ↑,
63', Dionisi F. ↓, Peralta D. ↑,
63', Hamlili Z. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Cortesi M. ⚽,
71', Cortesi M. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
73', Panaioli L. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,
77', Tcheuna R. 🟨,
85', Figoli M. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', Tcheuna R. ↓, Verza N. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 3.

Recent performances by Carpi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Livorno is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Carpi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Carpi won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Carpi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
02.11.25	Sassari Torres - Carpi	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.25	Carpi - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Carpi - Gubbio	0:3 ✺
20.10.25	Carpi - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
10.10.25	Bra - Carpi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLLTW
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
02.11.25	Livorno - Forlì	2:3 ✺
27.10.25	Perugia - Livorno	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Livorno - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Pineto - Livorno	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Pianese - Livorno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
11.08.19	Livorno - Carpi	0:1
Italian Serie B
05.05.19	Livorno - Carpi	1:0
26.12.18	Carpi - Livorno	1:4
Coppa Italia
06.08.17	Carpi - Livorno	4:0
16.08.15	Carpi - Livorno	2:0 ET
Italian Serie B
18.01.15	Carpi - Livorno	1:2
30.08.14	Livorno - Carpi	1:1

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