The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carrarese 42%
Draw 30.4%
Lucchese 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.3%
29.2%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
28.6%
20.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carrarese's form might have worsened.
Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucchese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carrarese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucchese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
40%
40%
Carrarese - Lucchese Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Lucchese will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 26. Cartano R. 15. Di Gennaro M. 21. Coppolaro M. 72. Zanon S. 18. Schiavi N. 6. Cerretelli F. 8. Palmieri R. 11. Cicconi M. 28. Capello A. 27. Simeri S.
22. Chiorra N. (G) 6. Tiritiello A. (C) 27. Gucher R. 23. Benassai F. 14. Quirini E. 8. Tumbarello G. 17. Djibril M. 30. Cangianiello S. 19. Russo F. 7. Rizzo Pinna A. 99. Magnaghi S.
Substitutes
99. Giannetti N. 3. Imperiale M. 22. Mazzini S. (G) 20. Opoola M. 23. Raimo A. 33. Sansaro A. 30. Sementa M. 12. Tampucci T. (G)
2. Alagna M. 12. Berti F. (G) 1. Coletta J. (G) 77. Guadagni G. 26. Merletti T. 3. Perotta N. 9. Romero N. 11. Sueva G. 4. Toma R. 72. Visconti E. 45. Yeboah P.
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 3.
Recent matches Carrarese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lucchese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Lucchese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Carrarese will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Carrarese won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Carrarese won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-4.
Watch
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Bleve M. (G) 
Schiavi N. 
Gucher R. 
Opoola M. 
Sueva G. 
Toma R. 
Yeboah P. 
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