Match Info

Irish Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Loughview Leisure Arena (Carrickfergus)


	Carrick Rangers		Queens University Belfast

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.55	6.9
	1.37	4.78	6.67	Watch
	1.33	4.2	7
	1.37	4.79	7.75
	1.35	4.75	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	4.61 ↑ (4)	6.93 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrick Rangers
67.1%

Draw
19.8%

Queens University Belfast
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

22.5%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

21.3%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrick Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Queens University Belfast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carrick Rangers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens University Belfast than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Carrick Rangers - Queens University Belfast Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Lecky A. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Steele A. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Young R. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', 3 - 1, Crowe J. ⚽,
63', 4 - 1, Snoddy M. ⚽,
78', 5 - 1, Gibson D. ⚽,

Preview

Carrick Rangers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Queens University has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Carrick Rangers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carrick Rangers is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carrick Rangers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership
03.01.26	Carrick Rangers - Glentoran	0:7 ✺
30.12.25	Crusaders - Carrick Rangers	2:2 ✺
26.12.25	Carrick Rangers - Larne	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Ballymena United - Carrick Rangers	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Carrick Rangers - Dungannon Swifts	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLTT
- Queens University Belfast
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.25	Ballinamallard United - Queens University Belfast	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Newington - Queens University Belfast	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Queens University Belfast - Institute FC	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Loughgall - Queens University Belfast	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Queens University Belfast - Limavady United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.21	Queens University Belfast - Carrick Rangers	Canceled

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