Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 24

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Loughview Leisure Arena (Carrickfergus)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Carrick Rangers		Glentoran

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.71
	4.05	3.45	1.8
	3.86	3.63	1.81	Watch
	4	3.4	1.83
	4	3.4	1.8
	4	3.4	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (4.04)	3.48 ↑ (3.36)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrick Rangers
22.7%

Draw
26.3%

Glentoran
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

27.2%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

26.1%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrick Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Glentoran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Carrick Rangers - Glentoran Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Glentoran (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pengelly S. (G) 4. Burns B. 9. Gibson D. 23. Glendinning R. 22. Heatley P. 10. Lecky A. 12. McCullough L. (C) 25. McKay R. 24. Snoddy M. 14. Steele A. 7. Waide R.	1. Mills A. (G) 17. Burt L. 2. Cooney R. 9. Hoban P. 30. Jenkins J. 18. Kamara M. 3. Kane M. (C) 20. Larmour D. 8. Palmer C. 27. Singleton J. 6. Thomson J.
Substitutes
18. Boyd J. 15. Buchanan-Rolleston B. 6. Callacher J. 19. Crowe J. 28. Grills D. 27. James C. 29. McCawl E.	22. Amos D. 7. Connolly D. 44. Douglas J. 14. Ferris N. 23. Francis Crellin W. (G) 16. McEleney S. 11. Pattisson C.
Coaches
Baxter S.	Devine D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
9', 0 - 1, Hoban P. ⚽,
11', Waide R. ↓, McCawl E. ↑,
14', 0 - 2, Hoban P. ⚽,
28', Glendinning R. 🟥,
41', 0 - 3, Hoban P. ⚽,
44', 0 - 4, Hoban P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Burns B. ↓, Buchanan-Rolleston B. ↑,
51', 0 - 5, Hoban P. ⚽,
52', 0 - 6, Hoban P. ⚽,
53', Kane M. ↓, Douglas J. ↑,
53', Hoban P. ↓, Ferris N. ↑,
56', 🟨,
63', 0 - 7, Burt L. ⚽,
67', Cooney R. ↓, Connolly D. ↑,
68', Larmour D. 🟨,
72', Kamara M. ↓, McEleney S. ↑,
72', Jenkins J. ↓, Pattisson C. ↑,
73', Douglas J. 🟨,
74', Lecky A. ↓, Boyd J. ↑,
89', Heatley P. ↓, James C. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carrick Rangers won 0.

Carrick Rangers has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Glentoran is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carrick Rangers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Glentoran is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carrick Rangers won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:52. (average 0.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Carrick Rangers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:24. (average 0.6:2.7).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Glentoran: 2.48% Carrick Rangers: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Glentoran	10	5	1	4	15:10	5	16
6	Carrick Rangers	10	4	1	5	15:15	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Glentoran - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.23%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrick Rangers
Northern Irish Premiership
30.12.25	Crusaders - Carrick Rangers	2:2 ✺
26.12.25	Carrick Rangers - Larne	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Ballymena United - Carrick Rangers	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Carrick Rangers - Dungannon Swifts	3:3 ✺
06.12.25	Coleraine - Carrick Rangers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTTL
- Glentoran
Northern Irish Premiership
30.12.25	Glentoran - Portadown	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Linfield - Glentoran	0:1 ✺
19.12.25	Glentoran - Coleraine	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Larne - Glentoran	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Glentoran - Cliftonville	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
30.08.25	Glentoran - Carrick Rangers	1:1
15.03.25	Carrick Rangers - Glentoran	0:0
19.10.24	Glentoran - Carrick Rangers	1:1
23.08.24	Carrick Rangers - Glentoran	2:3
10.02.24	Glentoran - Carrick Rangers	2:2
04.11.23	Glentoran - Carrick Rangers	2:3
30.09.23	Carrick Rangers - Glentoran	2:1

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