The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carshalton Athletic 55.8%
Draw 23.3%
East Thurrock United 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.1%
24.1%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
16.3%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
East Thurrock United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-19.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carshalton Athletic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Thurrock United than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Thurrock United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Carshalton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently East Thurrock have a series of guest games.
In this match Carshalton is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Carshalton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.