Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Carshalton Athletic		Horsham

	1	X	2
	3.1	4	1.82
	3.4	4.2	1.77
	3.43	4.21	1.79
	3.61	3.45	1.88
	3.4	4.2	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (4.16)	4.01 ↑ (3.96)	1.81 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
26.9%

Draw
22.7%

Horsham
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

23.1%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

22.7%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carshalton Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Horsham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carshalton Athletic - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Rodrigues L. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Ogunwamide O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 3, Meekums R. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 2.

Recent matches Carshalton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Horsham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Horsham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Carshalton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.04.25	Chatham Town - Carshalton Athletic	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Carshalton Athletic - Bowers & Pitsea	6:1 ✺
22.03.25	Whitehawk - Carshalton Athletic	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Cheshunt - Carshalton Athletic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWW
- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.04.25	Horsham - Canvey Island	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Cheshunt - Horsham	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Horsham - Hendon	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Bowers & Pitsea - Horsham	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Horsham - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.01.25	Horsham - Carshalton Athletic	3:0
09.03.24	Horsham - Carshalton Athletic	1:2
21.10.23	Carshalton Athletic - Horsham	1:2
07.01.23	Carshalton Athletic - Horsham	1:1
20.08.22	Horsham - Carshalton Athletic	1:3
15.02.22	Horsham - Carshalton Athletic	2:2
22.11.21	Carshalton Athletic - Horsham	0:1

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