Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 29

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Carshalton Athletic		Whitehawk

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.5	3
	2.11	3.57	3.02
	2.08	3.62	3.02	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3
	2.1	3.66	3.14
	2.05	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.01)	3.54 ↓ (3.64)	3.05 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carshalton Athletic
44.2%

Draw
25.8%

Whitehawk
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

25.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

25.6%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Whitehawk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitehawk than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Carshalton Athletic - Whitehawk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Oppong E. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Lodovica H. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Lodovica H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', Briggs A. 🟥,
85', 2 - 2, Atewologun O. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carshalton won 1.

Carshalton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Whitehawk is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carshalton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carshalton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Carshalton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Carshalton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Carshalton: 4.11% Whitehawk: 0.33%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Carshalton	11	7	0	4	18:19	-1	21
21	Whitehawk	10	1	2	7	10:22	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

Carshalton Athletic - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.74%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Whitehawk - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.01.26	Cray Wanderers - Carshalton Athletic	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Chatham Town	0:4 ✺
12.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Cheshunt	3:3 ✺
10.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Folkestone Invicta	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Chichester City - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLTTL
- Whitehawk
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.01.26	Whitehawk - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	St Albans City - Whitehawk	3:5 ✺
20.12.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Whitehawk	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	Cray Wanderers - Whitehawk	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Whitehawk - Welling United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.10.25	Whitehawk - Carshalton Athletic	2:0
22.03.25	Whitehawk - Carshalton Athletic	2:0
13.01.25	Carshalton Athletic - Whitehawk	2:2
06.04.24	Whitehawk - Carshalton Athletic	1:0
16.12.23	Carshalton Athletic - Whitehawk	2:1
26.01.19	Whitehawk - Carshalton Athletic	2:2
12.11.18	Carshalton Athletic - Whitehawk	2:0

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